Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2583da32225ae20128da172ca74d7d5b0e089519f8d32fc1a39972a80c543b9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 51c | 50,519$26,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,505.42 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 22,860$12,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,744.23 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 22,199$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,613.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…b973backed Under | 47c | 7,321$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 4,871$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.73 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 3,241$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.37 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,080$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.8 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,098$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.92 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 2,068$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 2,017$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 1,300$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 1,219$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.23 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 936.25$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Under | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 476.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 368$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 48c | 267.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 57.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c777backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 22.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)USC Trojans won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5)USC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.