Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69faeb2a5bc625ae25cdd1867d4dfec575ba5e503016601540d7c62b3cbef5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,436$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 1,822$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,751$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 1,198$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 966.56$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 826.16$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.73 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 41c | 771.65$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 41c | 597.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 583.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 480.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 25c | 379.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 293.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 237.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 18c | 216.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 197.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 151.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 20c | 150.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 37c | 130.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 123.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 17c | 111.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 60c | 84.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 73.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 66.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 39c | 65.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 60.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 55.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 64c | 51.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 32.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 66c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 66c | 21.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 62c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 78c | 13.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.