Champions League · resolved market
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1bebdbd3ef5697d5506954b824424f6d5ccecece286595e1f99f30ca4187de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 7,287$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.59 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 6,167$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 2,293$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 1,227$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,184$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 625.42$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 542.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 218.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 20c | 166$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 132.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 22c | 129.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 20c | 118.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 80c | 117.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 19c | 115.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 20c | 108.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 18c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 19c | 99.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 75.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 65.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 20c | 60.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 60.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 77c | 40.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 77c | 25.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…172abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.