Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae2b1c76ffeb062fef56ca13db102e8ec8f8cd133274637355cf7b25ed651e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Rybakina, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Eala | 39c | 25,360$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,359.86 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Rybakina | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.97 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Rybakina | 59c | 11,469$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.56 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Rybakina | 61c | 4,305$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.2 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Eala | 38c | 999.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.54 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Eala | 38c | 862.89$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.76 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Eala | 38c | 628.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.37 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Rybakina | 62c | 628.02$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.37 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eala | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rybakina | 59c | 445$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Rybakina | 59c | 439.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Eala | 40c | 400.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.54 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Rybakina | 63c | 284.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Rybakina | 59c | 281.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Eala | 35c | 270.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Eala | 39c | 214.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Eala | 41c | 208$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Rybakina | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Rybakina | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Rybakina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rybakina | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eala | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eala | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Eala | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Eala | 35c | 79.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Rybakina | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Eala | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rybakina | 59c | 55.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Eala | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Rybakina | 61c | 49.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Eala | 43c | 48.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Eala | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Rybakina | 59c | 35.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eala | 37c | 34.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Rybakina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Rybakina | 59c | 30.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Eala | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Rybakina | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Eala | 38c | 27.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked Eala | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rybakina | 59c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…6d33backed Rybakina | 63c | 22.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rybakina | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Rybakina | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Rybakina | 58c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rybakina | 56c | 18.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena RybakinaAlexandra Eala won
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs RybakinaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.