Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Valentina Steiner vs Noma Noha Akugue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9414ffa3153259600f4024c60dd820d063fbb98ffa4b8d012618ab735d7f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noma Noha Akugueof Valentina Steiner, Noma Noha Akugue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentina Steiner | 10c | 16,063$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Noma Noha Akugue | 65c | 1,892$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.65 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentina Steiner | 12c | 1,577$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valentina Steiner | 36c | 1,527$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.91 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Valentina Steiner | 39c | 1,461$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Valentina Steiner | 20c | 1,221$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 1,206$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Valentina Steiner | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 77c | 729.58$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Valentina Steiner | 2c | 629.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f871backed Valentina Steiner | 13c | 600.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valentina Steiner | 28c | 531.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Valentina Steiner | 32c | 471.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Noma Noha Akugue | 73c | 469.16$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Valentina Steiner | 32c | 314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Valentina Steiner | 32c | 294.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Valentina Steiner | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Valentina Steiner | 11c | 263.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Valentina Steiner | 32c | 248$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 74c | 245.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 240.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Valentina Steiner | 7c | 229.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Noma Noha Akugue | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Valentina Steiner | 22c | 209.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 193.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Valentina Steiner | 22c | 168.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Valentina Steiner | 13c | 167.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Valentina Steiner | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Valentina Steiner | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Noma Noha Akugue | 80c | 156.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Valentina Steiner | 31c | 155.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Noma Noha Akugue | 74c | 150.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Valentina Steiner | 24c | 142.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Valentina Steiner | 37c | 141$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Valentina Steiner | 18c | 135.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Valentina Steiner | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Valentina Steiner | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Valentina Steiner | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Valentina Steiner | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…8c41backed Valentina Steiner | 34c | 97.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Valentina Steiner | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Valentina Steiner | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Valentina Steiner | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Noma Noha Akugue | 74c | 70.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Noma Noha Akugue | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Noma Noha Akugue | 76c | 64.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Valentina Steiner | 33c | 59.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Noma Noha Akugue | 77c | 59.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Valentina Steiner | 38c | 53.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentina Steiner | 21c | 52.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Valentina Steiner | 36c | 50.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Valentina Steiner | 31c | 42.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Valentina Steiner | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 30.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Noma Noha Akugue | 61c | 20.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Noma Noha Akugue | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Valentina Steiner vs Noma Noha Akuguethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Steiner vs AkugueAkugue won
- Steiner vs. Akugue: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.