Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Andrey Chepelev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcaebe3971f2556bae208d7c7a21fd13c41fb303b278f68ab10910f5d63fa2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrey Chepelevof Tiago Pereira, Andrey Chepelev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9535…ccdcbacked Tiago Pereira | 55c | 3,031$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tiago Pereira | 39c | 693.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrey Chepelev | 48c | 641.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andrey Chepelev | 45c | 632.37$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Andrey Chepelev | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Andrey Chepelev | 38c | 295$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Tiago Pereira | 54c | 290.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andrey Chepelev | 45c | 271.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Andrey Chepelev | 55c | 248.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Andrey Chepelev | 47c | 212$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…9d85backed Andrey Chepelev | 66c | 207.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrey Chepelev | 37c | 194.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Tiago Pereira | 63c | 178.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Tiago Pereira | 57c | 175.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Andrey Chepelev | 51c | 119.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Andrey Chepelev | 53c | 115.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Andrey Chepelev | 41c | 98.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Andrey Chepelev | 18c | 92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Andrey Chepelev | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrey Chepelev | 42c | 78.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Tiago Pereira | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Andrey Chepelev | 24c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrey Chepelev | 29c | 59.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…f1e6backed Tiago Pereira | 39c | 52.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrey Chepelev | 36c | 42.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Andrey Chepelev | 51c | 26.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrey Chepelev | 41c | 24.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tiago Pereira | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Andrey Chepelev | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.