Us Politics · resolved market
Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bde6968be934d85f91c2a5f1438f8bc56605f8eb20c694c3519787cc45d4cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…782bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,466$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 65c | 1,443$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 34c | 1,121$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.44 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5e…4168backed Yes | 44c | 800.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 33c | 648.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.24 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 11c | 371.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed No | 55c | 367.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 356.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed Yes | 11c | 291$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 39c | 245.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 33c | 199.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…0ab2backed Yes | 12c | 175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…849bbacked Yes | 13c | 135$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 38c | 132.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…d2b0backed Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…9117backed Yes | 16c | 123.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 72c | 103.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed No | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…78a6backed Yes | 12c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 22c | 94.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…e1b6backed Yes | 11c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +243.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…c5bbbacked Yes | 12c | 93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…e69bbacked No | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed Yes | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…df23backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…9283backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fcf7backed Yes | 70c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…5b26backed No | 48c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…9fdbbacked No | 30c | 74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…9249backed No | 30c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…3a05backed Yes | 77c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…8862backed No | 23c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…a33fbacked Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…067dbacked Yes | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…248abacked Yes | 71c | 62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…64bdbacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…75f8backed No | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5798backed Yes | 71c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…41abbacked Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…da87backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…1461backed Yes | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…9976backed No | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…1f72backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…abadbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…dc5dbacked No | 23c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…ab71backed No | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…2c77backed Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…7947backed No | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…ea6cbacked Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…ff00backed Yes | 77c | 43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…76dbbacked No | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…0ee5backed No | 74c | 41.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…0fbebacked Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…7cb2backed No | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…b254backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…d701backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +435.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…6638backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…06cfbacked Yes | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b732backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…f5febacked Yes | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…10d5backed Yes | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…8d8fbacked No | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…7043backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…2dcebacked No | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…0e7fbacked Yes | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…3be0backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0d30backed Yes | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…acf6backed Yes | 67c | 27.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…51fabacked Yes | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…7b90backed Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…b936backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…425fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…8a0dbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…30e7backed Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…031cbacked Yes | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…a1e4backed Yes | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…ccaabacked Yes | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c1…170fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.