Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0f20d388214c2749a42de23e2fe8ac9a8eca2aeebda97407de9c852fbd6ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691a…d113backed Liberty Flames | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 6,529$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 23c | 3,433$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 2,036$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 37c | 1,972$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 1,384$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.37 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames | 36c | 1,018$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 780.87$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 75c | 623$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 576$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 522.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 78c | 520.91$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 509.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 28c | 438.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 22c | 417.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 400$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.07 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Liberty Flames | 79c | 370.69$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Liberty Flames | 36c | 349$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 346.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 331$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 53c | 303.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 207.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Liberty Flames | 26c | 203.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 22c | 151$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Liberty Flames | 73c | 105$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 102.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty Flames | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 89.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Liberty Flames | 76c | 88.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 52c | 85.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 23c | 76.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 74.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 60.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Liberty Flames | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Liberty Flames | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Liberty Flames | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 39.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liberty Flames | 40c | 37.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 21.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Liberty Flames | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 76c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Liberty Flamesthis page
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-7.5)Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.