Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c33190e53417f0305208553ae0f3781845ba8b2aea42ca9ecf5d6d9a4028cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 79c | 512.83$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.07 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 398$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 39c | 385.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 382.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 73c | 349.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 43c | 325.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 23c | 271.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 68c | 234.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 24c | 215.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 80c | 213.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 36c | 209.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 72c | 200.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 187.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 26c | 181.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 175.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 170.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 17c | 162.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 75c | 149.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 19c | 144.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 40c | 119.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 26c | 113.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 61c | 112.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 111.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…2c8cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 75c | 100.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 26c | 100.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 38c | 99.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 74c | 94.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…7884backed No | 79c | 93.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 89.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 19c | 85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…94b8backed Yes | 20c | 84.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 74c | 78.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 73.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 21c | 72.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 78c | 69.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 77c | 69.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 32c | 67.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 66.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…3b47backed Yes | 24c | 61.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 76c | 59.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 22c | 54.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 26c | 48.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 28c | 44.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 45c | 39.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 39.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 28c | 38.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 27c | 38.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 42c | 34.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 56c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 28.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 28.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked Yes | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 24.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 74c | 21.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 20.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…4801backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…fa48backed No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 18.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 73c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 69c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 15.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.