Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763ef2974c0412efcbf2d3998bce3177e694750482351e8bc148f7831052bd94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c1…9615backed Yes | 2c | 913.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 52c | 759.88$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 50c | 602.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 40c | 430.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 55c | 417.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 46c | 336$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 285.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 243.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 26c | 242.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 44c | 168.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 47c | 165.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 43c | 159.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 6c | 158.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 68c | 147.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 137.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 44c | 131.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 37c | 131.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 60c | 127.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…3be8backed Yes | 8c | 126.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 51c | 120.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 57c | 104.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 35c | 101.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 49c | 100.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 45c | 100.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 45c | 99.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 28c | 96.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 32c | 96.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 88.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 65c | 87.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 48c | 84.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 48c | 77.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 46c | 76.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 34c | 56.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 54c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 50.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 42.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 49c | 42.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 60c | 39.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 40c | 36.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 47c | 35.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Yes | 51c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 45c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 42c | 33.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 26.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 66c | 25.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…76b3backed No | 54c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 53c | 22.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…3cd9backed Yes | 49c | 22.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 48c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 54c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…e048backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…c012backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…922ebacked Yes | 56c | 17.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 64c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.