TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7feb…6be7backed Pelicans34c8,059$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans34c5,917$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pelicans41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Cavaliers60c3,531$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.026744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans29c2,255$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Pelicans26c1,969$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.56141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans23c1,966$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.3761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f6…42e5backed Cavaliers74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Cavaliers72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…212fbacked Cavaliers73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed Cavaliers74c1,359$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…0946backed Cavaliers74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Cavaliers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4307549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Pelicans5c819.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6314233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans27c690.48$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4316242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans4c664.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Pelicans11c660.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5411332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573c…b87bbacked Pelicans12c616.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb910…8624backed Cavaliers74c591.23$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Cavaliers64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ac…5bf7backed Cavaliers74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Pelicans8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef7b…542fbacked Cavaliers73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9425…e36bbacked Cavaliers73c329.01$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pelicans37c322.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4611719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Cavaliers72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers69c249.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.491,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…3ae9backed Pelicans29c236.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Pelicans13c209.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Cavaliers72c208.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.673043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…425bbacked Pelicans26c205.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.72850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Cavaliers77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6b…7b67backed Pelicans28c178.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Cavaliers75c165.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cavaliers74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans31c149.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4920233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Pelicans22c139.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.773426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94aa…9bc4backed Cavaliers72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Pelicans25c138.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6210334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3323359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd045…8367backed Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1a…cd51backed Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1497…aedebacked Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333850%19 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Cavaliers69c128.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Pelicans8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Cavaliers71c124.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Cavaliers73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8186…e3d2backed Cavaliers73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Cavaliers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2136449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Pelicans29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Pelicans26c99.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de3…2706backed Pelicans35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Cavaliers53c85.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9914542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x345e…3083backed Cavaliers75c83.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Pelicans13c83.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.853250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be4…f39cbacked Cavaliers74c79.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.341650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d2…473bbacked Pelicans38c78.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7512…e61cbacked Cavaliers75c78.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…3013backed Cavaliers50c74.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3080…6b8ebacked Pelicans27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pelicans45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9534644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Cavaliers78c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc883…35ffbacked Cavaliers70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2897…dc17backed Cavaliers75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans24c65.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Cavaliers59c50.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6484957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Pelicans26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0820…e937backed Cavaliers72c43.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Cavaliers61c40.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6d…6632backed Cavaliers75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106869.1%47 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Cavaliers76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Cavaliers75c38.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.673655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Cavaliers78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.464753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Cavaliers69c37.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.922774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef0…9813backed Pelicans30c37.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb6…0b78backed Cavaliers74c29.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91f…b7fabacked Cavaliers80c28.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.771540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf31…75aabacked Cavaliers72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…40babacked Cavaliers74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Cavaliers74c26.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.976947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Cavaliers57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…5076backed Cavaliers75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a5…6e66backed Cavaliers75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53966.7%26 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe809…48e2backed Cavaliers72c17.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50c…2777backed Cavaliers75c14.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Cavaliers72c13.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8810954.1%59 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.