Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Yasmine Mansouri vs Scarlet Kavanagh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cfd0492c0ab754d6cde5641792bc53ab71ba8044eb498e92fee9978c99c360c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yasmine Mansouriof Yasmine Mansouri, Scarlet Kavanagh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 61c | 11,422$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 48c | 7,812$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 23c | 2,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Scarlet Kavanagh | 1c | 2,093$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 24c | 2,087$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Scarlet Kavanagh | 50c | 1,198$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.23 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 51c | 595$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 7c | 325.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 10c | 289.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 18c | 275.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 27c | 233.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Scarlet Kavanagh | 18c | 223.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yasmine Mansouri | 58c | 220.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 56c | 165.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yasmine Mansouri | 67c | 132.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 45c | 128.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 147 | 75.5%111 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Scarlet Kavanagh | 12c | 120.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Scarlet Kavanagh | 32c | 113.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yasmine Mansouri | 69c | 105.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yasmine Mansouri | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yasmine Mansouri | 66c | 99.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Scarlet Kavanagh | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yasmine Mansouri | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yasmine Mansouri | 78c | 31.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Yasmine Mansouri | 48c | 21.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yasmine Mansouri | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.