Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d0e3bb2aa3b110d26187297c6bfc8b11699f61f69def83b26ac34567b82e31f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Rakhimova, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rakhimova | 16c | 5,560$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Rakhimova | 24c | 4,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cirstea | 76c | 2,622$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Rakhimova | 24c | 2,416$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Rakhimova | 33c | 2,286$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.89 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rakhimova | 17c | 2,167$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.27 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Cirstea | 79c | 1,340$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Cirstea | 79c | 1,262$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cirstea | 79c | 1,066$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rakhimova | 15c | 1,023$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Cirstea | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Rakhimova | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Cirstea | 78c | 999.77$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rakhimova | 18c | 851.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rakhimova | 15c | 702.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cirstea | 73c | 546.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Rakhimova | 17c | 527.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Cirstea | 68c | 438.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea | 77c | 421.84$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Rakhimova | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0e15backed Rakhimova | 31c | 305.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Cirstea | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Rakhimova | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rakhimova | 31c | 273.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Cirstea | 69c | 239.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Rakhimova | 18c | 237$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cirstea | 68c | 235$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cirstea | 68c | 208.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cirstea | 75c | 208$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cirstea | 69c | 184$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Rakhimova | 18c | 152$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rakhimova | 21c | 114.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cirstea | 77c | 100.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Cirstea | 68c | 90.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5d71backed Cirstea | 79c | 73.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Cirstea | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Rakhimova | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Cirstea | 80c | 58.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Rakhimova | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rakhimova | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Cirstea | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Cirstea | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Cirstea | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cirstea | 70c | 34.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Rakhimova | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Cirstea | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…e4fcbacked Cirstea | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…8713backed Cirstea | 68c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Cirstea | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Cirstea | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cirstea | 77c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cirstea | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…663abacked Cirstea | 73c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.