Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Katherine Sebov vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4652a2bdd61b6b45bc734be7d9ec0da6990196b7e5faf46734b2e96a313b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebovof Sebov, Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Cross | 51c | 5,735$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.74 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Cross | 24c | 4,605$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.34 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebov | 75c | 3,195$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Sebov | 49c | 3,178$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cross | 22c | 2,767$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Sebov | 65c | 1,887$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.01 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sebov | 69c | 1,252$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cross | 31c | 1,079$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.36 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sebov | 49c | 749.34$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.66 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebov | 78c | 693.06$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sebov | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Cross | 19c | 564.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cross | 45c | 459.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Sebov | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Sebov | 50c | 401.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sebov | 49c | 342.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Sebov | 49c | 284.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Cross | 40c | 200.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebov | 79c | 179.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebov | 49c | 179$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Sebov | 77c | 160.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cross | 50c | 154.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Sebov | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sebov | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Sebov | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sebov | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Sebov | 77c | 109.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sebov | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Cross | 52c | 94.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sebov | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sebov | 80c | 78.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebov | 49c | 76.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cross | 22c | 67.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sebov | 49c | 61.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Cross | 51c | 54.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Sebov | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebov | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Cross | 52c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…4360backed Cross | 52c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…e189backed Cross | 51c | 38.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…653ebacked Cross | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf514…4d8abacked Cross | 52c | 37.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sebov | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebov | 80c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Cross | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…91ddbacked Cross | 52c | 27.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…b78bbacked Cross | 52c | 27.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…461cbacked Cross | 52c | 25.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Sebov | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Cross | 52c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…0759backed Cross | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Sebov | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sebov | 75c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Sebov | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…8ef9backed Sebov | 79c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked Sebov | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…97ffbacked Sebov | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.