NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9b108f6d99047c20036b40bab28d06f7cc59a99721850b73b4156d16763389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Avangard Omsk | 47c | 1,377$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 23c | 700.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Avangard Omsk | 50c | 649.46$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 519.07$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 423$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avangard Omsk | 61c | 403.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 367.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5220backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 365.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 359.2$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 275.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…a443backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 270.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…6958backed Avangard Omsk | 52c | 259.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 207.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 28c | 195.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 37c | 192.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 183.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 150.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 20c | 116$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 88.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 82.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 77.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Avangard Omsk | 66c | 69.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 38c | 68.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avangard Omsk | 73c | 64.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 64.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 33c | 57.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 25c | 57.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 57.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Avangard Omsk | 33c | 57.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 49.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 45.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 45.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 39.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Avangard Omsk | 74c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Avangard Omsk | 64c | 31.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Avangard Omsk | 44c | 29.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Avangard Omsk | 68c | 27.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Avangard Omsk | 65c | 25.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.