Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd33b2421b1ca3188be354324b6d4b9c81ef8436ddd2be69344d37d49a9dceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 16,774$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,291.78 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed PARIVISION | 52c | 13,427$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,963.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 4,892$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.95 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed PARIVISION | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.36 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 2,409$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 2,303$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.74 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,854$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,389$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,300$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked BetBoom Team | 62c | 1,139$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.73 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 1,002$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.34 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 958.55$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.67 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 43c | 740.11$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 56c | 606.81$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked PARIVISION | 51c | 571.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 278.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked PARIVISION | 41c | 248.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e4cbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 220$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…0b03backed PARIVISION | 57c | 156.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed PARIVISION | 72c | 129.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 104.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…1680backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 83.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION | 61c | 76.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 73.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 66.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…1a74backed PARIVISION | 68c | 62.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed PARIVISION | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…18e5backed PARIVISION | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed PARIVISION | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed PARIVISION | 57c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…02f4backed PARIVISION | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked BetBoom Team | 71c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.