CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Club 333 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e96ce541fd91718723fcc7e24da33f7e45996f56e8c5625ebab13c424b32ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FarmVilleof FarmVille, Club 333
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed FarmVille | 45c | 2,907$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.32 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Club 333 | 55c | 2,496$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.48 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Club 333 | 55c | 1,046$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FarmVille | 45c | 686.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.71 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…1063backed Club 333 | 56c | 377.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked FarmVille | 45c | 368.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Club 333 | 31c | 326.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Club 333 | 55c | 258.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed FarmVille | 78c | 250.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Club 333 | 68c | 245.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…1f7cbacked FarmVille | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FarmVille | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Club 333 | 30c | 193.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FarmVille | 30c | 186.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed FarmVille | 45c | 186.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Club 333 | 54c | 171.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FarmVille | 38c | 150.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Club 333 | 55c | 132.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Club 333 | 54c | 100.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Club 333 | 57c | 95.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FarmVille | 37c | 61.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FarmVille | 34c | 59.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed FarmVille | 45c | 52.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…ea14backed Club 333 | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Club 333 | 53c | 43.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Club 333 | 55c | 42.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FarmVille | 74c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FarmVille | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FarmVille | 70c | 38.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Club 333 | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed FarmVille | 50c | 35.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Club 333 | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked FarmVille | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked FarmVille | 66c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Club 333 | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Club 333 | 49c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Club 333 | 50c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Club 333 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Club 333 | 56c | 18.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…ebf5backed Club 333 | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.