Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4db05a91335bbe8757623117b7dac27b30c97e82ba126f558dfd1d8f04b5c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rwandaof Rwanda, Nigeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nigeria | 2c | 1,850$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Nigeria | 36c | 1,120$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nigeria | 1c | 1,006$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Rwanda | 64c | 941.97$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.26 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigeria | 15c | 930.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nigeria | 33c | 856.15$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.25 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rwanda | 69c | 707.23$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Nigeria | 30c | 640$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Nigeria | 27c | 536.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Nigeria | 29c | 448.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Rwanda | 58c | 421.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigeria | 27c | 352.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigeria | 34c | 340.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Nigeria | 26c | 319.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Rwanda | 74c | 244.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nigeria | 26c | 234.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigeria | 26c | 201.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nigeria | 22c | 191.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Rwanda | 71c | 159.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nigeria | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigeria | 21c | 157.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Rwanda | 78c | 151.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Rwanda | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Rwanda | 70c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Rwanda | 74c | 92.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nigeria | 29c | 82.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Rwanda | 69c | 81.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nigeria | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nigeria | 25c | 68.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nigeria | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Rwanda | 79c | 65.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…d3babacked Rwanda | 66c | 49.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Nigeria | 42c | 47.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…4f1fbacked Nigeria | 23c | 47.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Rwanda | 55c | 41.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rwanda | 57c | 35.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Rwanda | 56c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Rwanda | 50c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Nigeria | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Rwanda | 48c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Rwanda | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5106backed Rwanda | 63c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7267…b086backed Rwanda | 62c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Rwanda | 65c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.