TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Francavilla: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Guy Den Ouden

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guy Den Oudenof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Guy Den Ouden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich49c6,402$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.0154345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich49c4,124$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Juan Pablo Ficovich2c3,270$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.499737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Guy Den Ouden53c3,262$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.8629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Guy Den Ouden43c2,349$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.8922856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Guy Den Ouden68c2,171$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.564,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Guy Den Ouden72c1,043$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Guy Den Ouden52c999.8$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.179,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Guy Den Ouden46c931.29$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4313251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Guy Den Ouden62c810.14$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6280341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Ficovich65c723.17$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.064,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Guy Den Ouden45c683.38$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.132,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Juan Pablo Ficovich49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Juan Pablo Ficovich38c497.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4824637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich34c438.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.912,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich42c414.08$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9160355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Pablo Ficovich6c397.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich44c385.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Guy Den Ouden57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Guy Den Ouden44c345.45$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich44c344.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.077,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Juan Pablo Ficovich24c341.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9928348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Guy Den Ouden56c309.44$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich7c272.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1739845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Guy Den Ouden48c234.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.764,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6173…f49abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Guy Den Ouden61c164.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0921560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Guy Den Ouden61c150.43$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Juan Pablo Ficovich80c147.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9316469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Guy Den Ouden58c136$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.982,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Guy Den Ouden20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10058750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Juan Pablo Ficovich54c116$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.761,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich59c104.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.361,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Guy Den Ouden64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Guy Den Ouden63c94.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0838262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Juan Pablo Ficovich43c90.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2290335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Guy Den Ouden64c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Guy Den Ouden46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich45c75.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1523634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich36c74.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18be…dde0backed Guy Den Ouden42c71.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.873259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Guy Den Ouden36c70.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Guy Den Ouden57c65.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3126951.3%138 W · 131 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Guy Den Ouden57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0525751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Guy Den Ouden62c64.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6330672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Guy Den Ouden62c63.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.267,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Juan Pablo Ficovich26c61.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.727222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Juan Pablo Ficovich39c60.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.861,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Guy Den Ouden20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Guy Den Ouden25c57.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.929527.4%26 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Juan Pablo Ficovich33c53.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5612831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4588273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300a…40d3backed Guy Den Ouden71c49.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411469.3%79 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0856…ecc5backed Juan Pablo Ficovich42c48.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.713647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Juan Pablo Ficovich26c47.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Guy Den Ouden67c44.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.926,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Juan Pablo Ficovich28c42.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Juan Pablo Ficovich71c40.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.682,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Juan Pablo Ficovich38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8415332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Guy Den Ouden78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4628265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Juan Pablo Ficovich30c38.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.493,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Guy Den Ouden53c36.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.276642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Juan Pablo Ficovich42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…e3dfbacked Guy Den Ouden42c33.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.477042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich38c32.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4232853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Juan Pablo Ficovich46c32.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8732240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Juan Pablo Ficovich51c30.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.549140.7%37 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich62c28.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7667178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Juan Pablo Ficovich38c26.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1812737.8%48 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Guy Den Ouden58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…8754backed Juan Pablo Ficovich42c25.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.954452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Guy Den Ouden63c24.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1531563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich45c24.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0817460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Guy Den Ouden57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3455360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…9431backed Juan Pablo Ficovich59c20.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.857560%45 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Guy Den Ouden63c19.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1437058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Guy Den Ouden57c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Guy Den Ouden63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.