Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa5554166a355b86c08bf20a7c204034ef9593a0953a382ae1915b65ae117d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAM Esportsof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, GAM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed GAM Esports | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.37 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked GAM Esports | 73c | 3,419$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.29 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 2,726$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.34 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GAM Esports | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 1,986$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.29 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 1,523$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 64c | 1,247$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GAM Esports | 40c | 1,091$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.57 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 950.92$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed GAM Esports | 40c | 906.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.02 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed GAM Esports | 67c | 830.67$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 54c | 801.48$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed GAM Esports | 45c | 673.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked GAM Esports | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 268 | 56%150 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GAM Esports | 45c | 303.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 42c | 241.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed GAM Esports | 73c | 239.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 224$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed GAM Esports | 46c | 216.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 195.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 181.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 180.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GAM Esports | 38c | 178.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 29c | 167.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed GAM Esports | 64c | 166.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 414 | 68.4%283 W · 131 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed GAM Esports | 46c | 165.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GAM Esports | 37c | 145.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed GAM Esports | 39c | 139.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 136.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 62c | 129.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 59c | 126.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 119.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 100.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 97.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 61c | 90.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 355 | 60.8%216 W · 139 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 30c | 62.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GAM Esports | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 41.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 23.3%38 W · 125 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed GAM Esports | 40c | 40.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed GAM Esports | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 48c | 34.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed GAM Esports | 40c | 33.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 32.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked GAM Esports | 39c | 29.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed GAM Esports | 55c | 28.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed GAM Esports | 65c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed GAM Esports | 53c | 23.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…fdc1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked GAM Esports | 67c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed GAM Esports | 80c | 16.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…ce9ebacked GAM Esports | 67c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.