Fifa International · resolved market
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb83e8b3d0c62567cfeb68b29779f0b257cdf9453e56e32acf82eb3c6fc24a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 44c | 12,794$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.94 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 56c | 5,777$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.88 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 57c | 4,160$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.32 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 55c | 810.69$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.81 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 57c | 598.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 542.34$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 57c | 519.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed No | 57c | 352.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…eb57backed Yes | 45c | 324.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Yes | 28c | 234.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…f68cbacked Yes | 46c | 219.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…05adbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 41c | 156.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 154.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 47c | 135.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…c7ecbacked No | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Yes | 44c | 111.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…3306backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 57c | 87.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes | 44c | 82.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 56c | 79.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 26c | 76.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…7233backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…cb06backed Yes | 47c | 64.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 60.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5756…5249backed Yes | 45c | 56.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 45.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…f44fbacked Yes | 34c | 35.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0c47backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 44c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 54c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 57c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ahmed Alaa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amar Memić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amar Memić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 2+ assistsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 2+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 3+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ermin Mahmić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Esmir Bajraktarević: 3+ goalsNo won
- Esmir Bajraktarević: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haris Tabaković: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jovo Lukić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Martin Zlomislić: 2+ savesNo won
- Mohammed Muntari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Samed Baždar: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.