Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d8700f96f235c6e0e72ea394e788f8c39633f4ec048888df977763446e9ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin Bonziof Benjamin Bonzi, Marc Polmans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marc Polmans | 19c | 4,310$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marc Polmans | 16c | 4,213$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.6 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Marc Polmans | 3c | 2,489$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Benjamin Bonzi | 80c | 2,100$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marc Polmans | 15c | 1,609$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Marc Polmans | 18c | 1,603$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.03 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Marc Polmans | 7c | 1,344$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed Marc Polmans | 22c | 1,114$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marc Polmans | 5c | 1,028$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Marc Polmans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Marc Polmans | 13c | 891.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marc Polmans | 13c | 792.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Benjamin Bonzi | 80c | 640.52$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Marc Polmans | 10c | 538.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Marc Polmans | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Marc Polmans | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Marc Polmans | 15c | 186.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…8a0dbacked Marc Polmans | 19c | 184.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Marc Polmans | 12c | 165.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marc Polmans | 19c | 164.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marc Polmans | 14c | 154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Marc Polmans | 15c | 151.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Marc Polmans | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 132.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Marc Polmans | 13c | 131.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Marc Polmans | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marc Polmans | 16c | 109.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Marc Polmans | 12c | 108.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Marc Polmans | 16c | 103.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marc Polmans | 15c | 90.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marc Polmans | 13c | 88.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Marc Polmans | 13c | 76.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marc Polmans | 21c | 71.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 64.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Benjamin Bonzi | 79c | 38.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Benjamin Bonzi | 79c | 33.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Benjamin Bonzi | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmansthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bonzi vs PolmansBonzi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.