Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Lost Puppies GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7228f0adcbc67f8ac90dfbf23bc829568bdb48f1bf26491c2d5e4d2da94bb209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaX Rubyof ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby, Lost Puppies GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Lost Puppies GC | 20c | 1,327$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.94 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Lost Puppies GC | 2c | 936.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 38c | 512.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.57 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 66c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…239fbacked Lost Puppies GC | 72c | 271.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lost Puppies GC | 6c | 263.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Lost Puppies GC | 48c | 249$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lost Puppies GC | 60c | 248.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lost Puppies GC | 40c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lost Puppies GC | 78c | 210.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 42c | 202.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lost Puppies GC | 52c | 188.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Lost Puppies GC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 44c | 165.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 26c | 157$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Lost Puppies GC | 71c | 140.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 43c | 140.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lost Puppies GC | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Lost Puppies GC | 57c | 105.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lost Puppies GC | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…2d1dbacked Lost Puppies GC | 56c | 89.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Lost Puppies GC | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lost Puppies GC | 66c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lost Puppies GC | 25c | 53.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…6b08backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lost Puppies GC | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Lost Puppies GC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked Lost Puppies GC | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Lost Puppies GC | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Lost Puppies GC | 56c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 44c | 28.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Lost Puppies GC | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Lost Puppies GC | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 65c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.