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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Dakota Fighting Hawksof Omaha Mavericks, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6ec…81c2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks36c1,506$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.428817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Omaha Mavericks1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks55c1,442$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Omaha Mavericks26c1,236$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.713,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks25c1,155$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.291,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Omaha Mavericks45c1,009$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.952,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Omaha Mavericks64c885.91$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Omaha Mavericks45c766$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.71,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Omaha Mavericks62c423.64$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.381,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omaha Mavericks61c359.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.741,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Omaha Mavericks45c345.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks55c344$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.85738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Omaha Mavericks45c341$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks39c321.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks51c305.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.835,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks44c304$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2514643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Omaha Mavericks53c290.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.921,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Omaha Mavericks36c287.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.041,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks55c286.91$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omaha Mavericks47c286.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.231,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Omaha Mavericks45c279.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks45c277.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Omaha Mavericks45c265.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Omaha Mavericks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Omaha Mavericks18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks46c191.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.461,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4448462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks45c173$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.971,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Omaha Mavericks53c166$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks65c154.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2910846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Omaha Mavericks28c151.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.151,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks23c134.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks45c119.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.082055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Omaha Mavericks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks54c98.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks48c88.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.071,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Omaha Mavericks48c82.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Omaha Mavericks43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.258055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks39c73.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.612,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Omaha Mavericks19c66.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.58737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks49c61.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.843455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks39c50.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.959745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1797…71d4backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks44c49.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Omaha Mavericks56c48.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks50c40.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.219259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Omaha Mavericks45c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Omaha Mavericks42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Omaha Mavericks45c23.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Omaha Mavericks48c23.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0813550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc842…21ebbacked Omaha Mavericks46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.457655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Omaha Mavericks73c15.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.