CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732f203f9833a34d64078e0ae09f90afb695d6f8159a360d5ea200c56377081e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, Semente do Mal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Semente do Mal | 19c | 12,067$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.15 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Semente do Mal | 23c | 3,939$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.88 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 3,390$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.43 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 1,232$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Semente do Mal | 17c | 1,207$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…57ecbacked Grêmio Esports | 77c | 1,017$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Semente do Mal | 6c | 805.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked Grêmio Esports | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…6036backed Semente do Mal | 19c | 505.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…ea14backed Grêmio Esports | 76c | 412.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Semente do Mal | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…1063backed Grêmio Esports | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Semente do Mal | 21c | 316.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Semente do Mal | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Semente do Mal | 26c | 286.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Grêmio Esports | 76c | 261.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…3f82backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 249.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Semente do Mal | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Grêmio Esports | 80c | 150.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Semente do Mal | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Semente do Mal | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Grêmio Esports | 76c | 129.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Semente do Mal | 21c | 125.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Grêmio Esports | 80c | 116.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Semente do Mal | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Semente do Mal | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Grêmio Esports | 71c | 109.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 334 | 62.9%210 W · 124 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…bcfdbacked Grêmio Esports | 75c | 101.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Semente do Mal | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…7ca4backed Semente do Mal | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Semente do Mal | 20c | 86.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…a15ebacked Grêmio Esports | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Semente do Mal | 16c | 72.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked Grêmio Esports | 75c | 71.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Semente do Mal | 21c | 69.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 65.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Grêmio Esports | 78c | 63.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Semente do Mal | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…1134backed Semente do Mal | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 50.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Grêmio Esports | 79c | 40.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Grêmio Esports | 72c | 39.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…7ea9backed Grêmio Esports | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Grêmio Esports | 73c | 30.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Grêmio Esports | 77c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Grêmio Esports | 74c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Semente do Mal - Map 1 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.