CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Morphilina Club vs mokrivskiy Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742a11a49e4a7ecc360f3117086b31e6fe278169261c554e76e1acb9e2bca650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mokrivskiy Clubof Morphilina Club, mokrivskiy Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Morphilina Club | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed mokrivskiy Club | 50c | 440.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed mokrivskiy Club | 51c | 282.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Morphilina Club | 32c | 247.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed mokrivskiy Club | 50c | 233.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed mokrivskiy Club | 62c | 180.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Morphilina Club | 53c | 175.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…cca8backed Morphilina Club | 60c | 163.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Morphilina Club | 35c | 149.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed mokrivskiy Club | 71c | 147.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Morphilina Club | 20c | 146.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed mokrivskiy Club | 74c | 134.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed mokrivskiy Club | 49c | 131.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Morphilina Club | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed mokrivskiy Club | 78c | 110.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed mokrivskiy Club | 66c | 98.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked mokrivskiy Club | 60c | 91.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Morphilina Club | 29c | 74.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Morphilina Club | 31c | 73.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Morphilina Club | 24c | 71.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Morphilina Club | 47c | 63.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed mokrivskiy Club | 47c | 61.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked mokrivskiy Club | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…2162backed Morphilina Club | 42c | 50.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Morphilina Club | 36c | 50.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Morphilina Club | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed mokrivskiy Club | 58c | 46.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked mokrivskiy Club | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Morphilina Club | 34c | 38.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Morphilina Club | 42c | 32.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed mokrivskiy Club | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Morphilina Club | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed mokrivskiy Club | 71c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Morphilina Club | 42c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked mokrivskiy Club | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked mokrivskiy Club | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed mokrivskiy Club | 60c | 26.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked mokrivskiy Club | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked mokrivskiy Club | 55c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed mokrivskiy Club | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mokrivskiy Club | 55c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…f417backed mokrivskiy Club | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Morphilina Club | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…571bbacked mokrivskiy Club | 75c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed mokrivskiy Club | 58c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked mokrivskiy Club | 65c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.