Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749e65112a021ccc3fef0807b8d215d946e14c53eb3910aa95c3c8232101403f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 12c | 25,245$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.36 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 11c | 13,141$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 11c | 11,020$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 12c | 9,467$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 8,900$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 11c | 7,961$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.16 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 11c | 6,818$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 12c | 6,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 4,800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 13c | 4,685$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.75 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 10c | 4,116$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 11c | 4,045$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.14 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 9c | 3,722$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 2,595$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 14c | 993.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed No | 9c | 751.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 14c | 714.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 12c | 696.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 11c | 568.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 11c | 516.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 11c | 450.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 10c | 335.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 11c | 254.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 8c | 247.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 20c | 207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 13c | 199.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 16c | 128.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 12c | 117.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed No | 11c | 108.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 12c | 104.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 15c | 93.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 14c | 79.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…8c7bbacked No | 15c | 69.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 19c | 59.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Germany vs. Finland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.