Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dublin: Ammar Elamin vs Aaron Gabet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a953eb38679eafa9288ce062d3665fedcdf46e380bb0efd067eb52090e6de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ammar Elaminof Ammar Elamin, Aaron Gabet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aaron Gabet | 48c | 14,282$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Ammar Elamin | 68c | 13,915$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.16 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Ammar Elamin | 35c | 10,455$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.92 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Aaron Gabet | 6c | 3,724$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aaron Gabet | 10c | 2,306$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Aaron Gabet | 29c | 2,120$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.05 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aaron Gabet | 30c | 1,995$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aaron Gabet | 49c | 1,961$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.96 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Aaron Gabet | 24c | 1,949$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aaron Gabet | 27c | 1,796$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.46 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Ammar Elamin | 59c | 1,395$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aaron Gabet | 42c | 1,248$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Aaron Gabet | 17c | 1,091$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Aaron Gabet | 53c | 752.83$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Aaron Gabet | 19c | 731.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Aaron Gabet | 54c | 677.7$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Aaron Gabet | 16c | 635.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aaron Gabet | 6c | 627.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ammar Elamin | 78c | 551.08$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Aaron Gabet | 20c | 515.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Aaron Gabet | 26c | 444.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Aaron Gabet | 15c | 399.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Ammar Elamin | 51c | 366.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Aaron Gabet | 9c | 315.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aaron Gabet | 23c | 275.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aaron Gabet | 30c | 271.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Ammar Elamin | 39c | 261.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Aaron Gabet | 18c | 243$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Aaron Gabet | 20c | 232$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Aaron Gabet | 49c | 199.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Aaron Gabet | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Ammar Elamin | 77c | 177.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Aaron Gabet | 15c | 171.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aaron Gabet | 46c | 159.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Aaron Gabet | 24c | 156.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Aaron Gabet | 44c | 146.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Aaron Gabet | 21c | 139.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Aaron Gabet | 43c | 133.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Ammar Elamin | 25c | 125$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Aaron Gabet | 25c | 119.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Aaron Gabet | 27c | 117.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Aaron Gabet | 38c | 107.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Ammar Elamin | 69c | 99.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ammar Elamin | 26c | 71.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…a355backed Aaron Gabet | 44c | 66.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Aaron Gabet | 27c | 66.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Aaron Gabet | 27c | 55.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Aaron Gabet | 21c | 54.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Aaron Gabet | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Ammar Elamin | 38c | 44.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Ammar Elamin | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Aaron Gabet | 62c | 27.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Aaron Gabet | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ammar Elamin | 53c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…30a4backed Ammar Elamin | 78c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.