MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75699ca7b37f72f60bc3de7cc80f490d8078e140ce9538a5bd2bb08115264023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Padres, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 45c | 40,096$18,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,905.39 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Padres | 54c | 35,000$19,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,049.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 46c | 6,725$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 54c | 4,648$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Padres | 23c | 4,257$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 56c | 3,720$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…52a0backed Reds | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 3,593$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 45c | 3,298$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.33 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 76c | 2,275$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 21c | 2,259$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 54c | 2,149$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 76c | 2,024$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Reds | 44c | 1,875$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 57c | 1,767$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.27 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 55c | 1,450$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 46c | 1,362$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.46 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366a…5c71backed Padres | 54c | 1,263$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cf…a4dbbacked Padres | 54c | 1,230$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Reds | 44c | 1,222$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…6a4dbacked Padres | 54c | 1,219$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Padres | 23c | 960.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…da24backed Padres | 56c | 955$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…29babacked Padres | 56c | 920$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 45c | 799.94$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.97 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 55c | 759.92$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Padres | 56c | 672.06$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 12c | 668.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 45c | 598.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 54c | 530$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Padres | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Reds | 44c | 466.58$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Padres | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Padres | 56c | 441.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Reds | 46c | 418.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 55c | 395.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Padres | 56c | 366.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 69c | 332.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Reds | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 56c | 228$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 22c | 223.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Reds | 75c | 219.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…847bbacked Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 31c | 172$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Reds | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Reds | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 28c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Reds | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Reds | 46c | 117.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 45c | 107.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Padres | 55c | 105.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 55c | 104.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Padres | 19c | 103.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 45c | 100.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Reds | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Padres | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…568cbacked Reds | 45c | 98.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Reds | 45c | 92.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…67d7backed Padres | 56c | 88.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Padres | 56c | 85.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Reds | 46c | 82.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Padres | 56c | 79.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 54c | 75.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Reds | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Padres | 55c | 69.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…7e56backed Padres | 55c | 66.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Padres | 55c | 63.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Padres | 55c | 60.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…8633backed Reds | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Reds | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Reds | 45c | 49.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 27c | 49.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Padres | 56c | 47.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Reds | 45c | 47.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Padres | 56c | 47.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Reds | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 45c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…c1d0backed Reds | 45c | 42.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a2…a808backed Reds | 46c | 40.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Reds | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Reds | 45c | 38.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…cc1cbacked Reds | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc57…dd5bbacked Padres | 56c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.