Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gandia: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Luka Talan Lopatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759aca15f559fc83f137c638e6a3198fc467822ebdacf5ca4bcff505456e0808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Talan Lopaticof Carlos Lopez Montagud, Luka Talan Lopatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 63c | 20,701$13,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,135.37 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 36c | 11,783$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 37c | 3,495$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.85 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 58c | 2,494$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 40c | 648.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 45c | 471$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 52c | 414.65$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 51c | 405.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 34c | 261.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 38c | 232$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 42c | 128.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 45c | 121.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 41c | 110.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 46c | 103.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 55c | 89.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 45c | 86.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 58c | 79.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 49c | 58.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 53c | 49.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 41c | 47.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 59c | 43.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 35c | 41.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 35c | 39.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 60c | 37.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 36.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 56c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 63c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.