Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Yunseong Chung vs Chase Ferguson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x769875dd6a32eb0592134b345f84df0bfa2ed32d5f07bd26c475a29840e34bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunseong Chungof Yunseong Chung, Chase Ferguson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Chase Ferguson | 27c | 2,982$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.78 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yunseong Chung | 78c | 2,000$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.97 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Chase Ferguson | 27c | 732.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yunseong Chung | 71c | 699.1$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chase Ferguson | 21c | 560.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Yunseong Chung | 73c | 557.08$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chase Ferguson | 21c | 516.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yunseong Chung | 78c | 320.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chase Ferguson | 18c | 232.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yunseong Chung | 73c | 189.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yunseong Chung | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Chase Ferguson | 22c | 156.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Yunseong Chung | 79c | 139.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Chase Ferguson | 21c | 124.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yunseong Chung | 77c | 120.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chase Ferguson | 21c | 93.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Yunseong Chung | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yunseong Chung | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Yunseong Chung | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yunseong Chung | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yunseong Chung | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yunseong Chung | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Chase Ferguson | 20c | 61.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chase Ferguson | 30c | 58.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yunseong Chung | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yunseong Chung | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yunseong Chung | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yunseong Chung | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Yunseong Chung | 72c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yunseong Chung | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Yunseong Chung | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.