Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Andrea Collarini vs Juan Bautista Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76de0a84078a5fdc3714c9a3dbcf447a7a4f8fef1e781e4a7541d1b33b40249f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collariniof Collarini, Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Torres | 63c | 3,109$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.29 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Collarini | 55c | 2,491$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.96 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Torres | 54c | 1,660$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.12 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Collarini | 34c | 1,170$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.19 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Torres | 47c | 1,046$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Collarini | 53c | 903.4$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Torres | 46c | 717.15$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.91 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Collarini | 43c | 670.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Collarini | 54c | 559.1$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Collarini | 30c | 526.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.64 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Collarini | 50c | 503$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Torres | 47c | 347.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Collarini | 31c | 347.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Torres | 46c | 324.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Collarini | 54c | 324.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torres | 63c | 266.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Collarini | 44c | 263.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Collarini | 60c | 251.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Collarini | 39c | 216.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Torres | 69c | 193.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…96eabacked Torres | 55c | 189.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Torres | 51c | 186.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Torres | 66c | 183.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Collarini | 58c | 173.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Collarini | 52c | 168.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Collarini | 47c | 163.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Torres | 55c | 156$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Collarini | 43c | 155$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Torres | 71c | 140.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Torres | 46c | 108.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Torres | 35c | 106.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Torres | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Torres | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…9167backed Collarini | 69c | 99.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Collarini | 73c | 96.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collarini | 66c | 90.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Collarini | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Collarini | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Collarini | 43c | 89.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Torres | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Torres | 51c | 71.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Collarini | 52c | 64.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Collarini | 51c | 63.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Torres | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Collarini | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Collarini | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Torres | 53c | 56.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Torres | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Collarini | 48c | 41.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…0402backed Collarini | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Collarini | 48c | 40.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Collarini | 75c | 40.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Collarini | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Torres | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Collarini | 53c | 37.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Torres | 46c | 33.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Collarini | 32c | 32.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Torres | 38c | 29.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Torres | 48c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Torres | 50c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57da…fb91backed Collarini | 68c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…8d93backed Torres | 57c | 21.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Torres | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Collarini | 68c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.