Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ef219aaf3f34a230d064bbd3b89003a7138433b1e72327cf9768535c5d4932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 49c | 407.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 380$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 70c | 339.75$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 322.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 29c | 274.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 41c | 244.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 238.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 23c | 215.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 206.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 195.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 75c | 165.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 33c | 153.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 55c | 142.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 139.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 135.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 22c | 128.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 126.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 114.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 75c | 97.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 29c | 87.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 79.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 77.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 67.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 57.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 80c | 52.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 62c | 48.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 64c | 44.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.