Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a7f649fe45bba6f071fbc5c7ab9a5080cda86bad926acf59b4c2f7a8c4ae50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 47c | 2,416$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.75 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 56c | 889.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 61c | 705.3$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b461backed Yes | 39c | 653.3$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 637.44$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 586.52$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.87 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 547.71$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 474.21$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 56c | 380$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 78c | 370$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 313.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…a54cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 210$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 43c | 206.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 198.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 54c | 167$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 32c | 165$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 152.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 53c | 135.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 56c | 123.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked No | 68c | 122.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 116.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 39c | 101.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 61c | 100.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 96.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 44c | 88.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 46c | 86.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 65.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 54c | 55.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 68c | 50.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 50.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 53c | 48.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 47.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 54c | 46.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 64c | 45.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 43.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 57c | 34.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 80c | 27.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 80c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.