Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7704a217481b7eafd4072f8b13c0c21b6dac0c610421d7aa8b966c36848147e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 35c | 837.92$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 74c | 798.24$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 797$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.82 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…9ed0backed Under | 65c | 684.08$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…6a56backed Under | 26c | 605.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 79c | 441.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 61c | 424$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 40c | 400$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 64c | 360.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 297.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 237.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 21c | 228.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 207$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 25c | 185$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 174$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 75c | 127.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 35c | 96.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Under | 26c | 91.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 76c | 82.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 55.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 39c | 50.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 49.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 37.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 69c | 36.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 655 | 56.2%368 W · 287 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.