NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781f3f146416eaf93c1fef06ddc24e0b666beddfa4b81df94dda81a6e3eaf9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 23,671$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,814.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 20,943$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,309.15 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 46c | 10,124$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.02 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 3,331$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.91 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 56c | 2,579$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 55c | 1,390$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.32 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 1,122$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.04 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 957.45$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 904$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 833$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 56c | 796.92$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.62 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 773.54$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 55c | 677.65$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.22 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 43c | 509.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 428.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 421$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 388.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 371.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 55c | 359.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 248.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 56c | 245$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 33c | 217.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Under | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 57c | 184.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 21c | 178.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 21c | 171.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…7307backed Under | 40c | 124.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 55c | 100.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 56c | 95.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 54c | 34.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 66c | 31.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 54c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 57c | 28.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…54c9backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…d82bbacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Golden KnightsStars won
- Stars vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.