Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7872ddb07b40f0c810d32d44f3a86abc47905e0c4b535dc51047ecfb71aaaa4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 68c | 6,451$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.21 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 41c | 5,394$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 32c | 4,051$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.45 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 2,376$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.93 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,459$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.81 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 1,442$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 1,151$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.33 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 1,034$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.09 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 39c | 638$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 624.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 68c | 382.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 32c | 365.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 322.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 286.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 277$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Yes | 32c | 271.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 32c | 242$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 229.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Yes | 32c | 174.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 155.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 144.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 42c | 111.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 26c | 102.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 77.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 68c | 73.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 70.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed No | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 32c | 65.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 60.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 37c | 34.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 70c | 22.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.