South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798c33159c0a49ddf5cec2a706120b3172654ebda84f7183f9f95773ceed20a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ea…db82backed Yes | 27c | 5,773$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +268.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 2,637$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.18 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 70c | 1,548$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 53c | 1,377$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.1 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 901.91$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.39 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 812.5$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 53c | 770.33$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 665$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 48c | 583.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.17 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 371.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 301.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 46c | 290$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 197.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 178.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed No | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 139$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 395 | 32.4%128 W · 267 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 116$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed Yes | 40c | 37.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…bc90backed Yes | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +16.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-2.5)CA Unión won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.