MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79cdbb83f61bd82b41833c34e546921aff5a0ccd67b1f729843e4cbee61f06ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Chicago White Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 12,481$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 3,968$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 3,074$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 2,824$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,741$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.57 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,421$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,408$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.19 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,233$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 638.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 462.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 394.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 374.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 314.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…391fbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 259.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 218$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 201$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 195.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 107.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 85.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 40.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 37.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.