CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ddf0fab37978fa37ca54a921b6ec7a7e106f4b8195663bb43207c5fecd43b8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: G2 Aresof G2 Ares, Young Ninjas
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,824 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x755a…6da6backed Young Ninjas	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked G2 Ares	80c	1,841$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.23	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Young Ninjas	27c	1,058$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.99	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked G2 Ares	42c	785.28$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.97	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas	20c	704.71$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed G2 Ares	77c	700$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas	15c	684.47$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.14	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Young Ninjas	39c	660.11$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.31	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed G2 Ares	77c	650$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.2	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Young Ninjas	50c	592.98$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	237	57%135 W · 102 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Young Ninjas	40c	588.14$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed G2 Ares	57c	521.34$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.21	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Young Ninjas	61c	493.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Young Ninjas	15c	479.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Young Ninjas	15c	361$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.11	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas	23c	343.8$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.04	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Young Ninjas	30c	301.33$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.75	623	50.9%317 W · 306 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Young Ninjas	5c	299.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Young Ninjas	56c	299.07$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.53	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Young Ninjas	39c	297.1$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.87	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Young Ninjas	22c	277.49$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.33	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46de…84eabacked Young Ninjas	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ca…fb01backed G2 Ares	42c	251.12$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.12	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x337f…3506backed G2 Ares	41c	233.36$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.68	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Young Ninjas	20c	229.16$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.57	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed G2 Ares	40c	221.93$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.16	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked G2 Ares	60c	217.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Young Ninjas	34c	202.12$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.56	613	38.2%234 W · 379 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Young Ninjas	21c	200.39$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.01	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed G2 Ares	39c	193.58$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.51	371	45.6%169 W · 202 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Young Ninjas	34c	188.86$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Young Ninjas	14c	179.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked G2 Ares	68c	169.87$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.24	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked G2 Ares	69c	165.86$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.59	503	58.6%295 W · 208 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Young Ninjas	58c	160.53$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.11	892	48%428 W · 464 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Young Ninjas	20c	160$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	293	40.6%119 W · 174 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Young Ninjas	59c	146$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.14	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Young Ninjas	21c	143.75$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	83	22.9%19 W · 64 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Young Ninjas	17c	134.75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Young Ninjas	57c	133.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.89	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed G2 Ares	66c	120.71$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.1	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Young Ninjas	32c	118$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.72	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Young Ninjas	20c	109$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe77c…6afebacked G2 Ares	66c	106.06$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.06	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	56cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x835a…a5c8backed Young Ninjas	29c	105.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Young Ninjas	20c	105$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	174	49.4%86 W · 88 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b58…3474backed Young Ninjas	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Young Ninjas	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c7…5864backed G2 Ares	41c	99.22$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.54	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked G2 Ares	53c	98.21$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Young Ninjas	24c	97.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	145	43.4%63 W · 82 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked G2 Ares	62c	94.58$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Young Ninjas	57c	89.47$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Young Ninjas	37c	86.37$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Young Ninjas	36c	85.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.41	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed G2 Ares	65c	82.4$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.93	238	61.3%146 W · 92 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed G2 Ares	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Young Ninjas	38c	79.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	152	64.5%98 W · 54 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed G2 Ares	36c	78.13$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Young Ninjas	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Young Ninjas	49c	73.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Young Ninjas	31c	72.34$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Young Ninjas	31c	66.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe83…82a8backed G2 Ares	63c	63.14$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	107	75.7%81 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Young Ninjas	47c	59.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Young Ninjas	60c	58.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.26	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas	19c	57.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed G2 Ares	69c	53.56$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Young Ninjas	58c	53.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Young Ninjas	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5575…c56dbacked Young Ninjas	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	84	60.7%51 W · 33 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked G2 Ares	77c	44.88$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	-9.3wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Young Ninjas	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Young Ninjas	36c	39.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…25cfbacked Young Ninjas	30c	37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Young Ninjas	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	341	47.5%162 W · 179 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed G2 Ares	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares	65c	34.82$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.23	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked G2 Ares	74c	34.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	361	74.8%270 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares	75c	32.16$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.16	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Ares	66c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.79	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Young Ninjas	53c	30.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Ares	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked G2 Ares	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	288	37.5%108 W · 180 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Young Ninjas	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	323	61.6%199 W · 124 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed G2 Ares	57c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	640	46.3%296 W · 344 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group CG2 Ares won
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event