CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbddd9072c091b188035520d72fe361b90943dea54f667204d0f743042a1c7c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof G2 Ares, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 8c | 1,643$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Young Ninjas | 80c | 1,490$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.06 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…09e5backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 1,380$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 13c | 1,195$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 1,144$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked G2 Ares | 20c | 1,017$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 27c | 908.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed G2 Ares | 6c | 666$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 601.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Ares | 12c | 561.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed G2 Ares | 19c | 510.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 14c | 477.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 11c | 472.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 441.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked G2 Ares | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 6c | 386$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…3506backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 10c | 324$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed G2 Ares | 13c | 299.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 409 | 39.1%160 W · 249 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Young Ninjas | 61c | 288.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 285.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed G2 Ares | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 253.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 28c | 250.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked G2 Ares | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked G2 Ares | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 239$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Ares | 17c | 233.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked G2 Ares | 6c | 218.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked G2 Ares | 43c | 202.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed G2 Ares | 24c | 188.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 506 | 41.5%210 W · 296 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Young Ninjas | 67c | 185.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 266 | 75.2%200 W · 66 L | +24.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 180.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed G2 Ares | 49c | 180.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 384 | 49.2%189 W · 195 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Young Ninjas | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 141.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 387 | 45.7%177 W · 210 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed G2 Ares | 16c | 122.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 36c | 110.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed G2 Ares | 16c | 106.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked G2 Ares | 15c | 105.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 687 | 46.9%322 W · 365 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked G2 Ares | 24c | 104.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 37.6%89 W · 148 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked G2 Ares | 25c | 101.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed G2 Ares | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 22c | 98.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 92.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed G2 Ares | 17c | 82.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed G2 Ares | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 321 | 31.8%102 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 303 | 37%112 W · 191 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 78.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed G2 Ares | 24c | 75.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 774 | 46.1%357 W · 417 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Ares | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Ares | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 829 | 42.5%352 W · 477 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed Young Ninjas | 78c | 63.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Young Ninjas | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed G2 Ares | 38c | 52.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 46.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 342 | 39.5%135 W · 207 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…b9d9backed G2 Ares | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed G2 Ares | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 37.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…7c61backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…2aeabacked Young Ninjas | 65c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Young Ninjas | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group CG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.