Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7acac7dc77f123510f0095444c0ddbc8ab732eb605cc816c1bd54495f50d4b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weber State Wildcatsof Weber State Wildcats, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 5,415$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 47c | 4,207$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.16 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 2,605$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.13 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 1,879$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.67 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Weber State Wildcats | 68c | 1,613$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.53 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 48c | 1,438$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.39 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Weber State Wildcats | 57c | 1,399$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.57 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18c | 1,195$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 1,143$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.09 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 1,059$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Weber State Wildcats | 59c | 1,022$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats | 72c | 766.16$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 627$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 530.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 461.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 388.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 11c | 383.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 33c | 380.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Weber State Wildcats | 62c | 378.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 46c | 369$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 279$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Weber State Wildcats | 57c | 181.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Weber State Wildcats | 77c | 156.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 43c | 156.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18c | 154.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 150.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24c | 145.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 44c | 133$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 25c | 122.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 37c | 80.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 45c | 71.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Weber State Wildcats | 61c | 63.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 75c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 79c | 61.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 39c | 42.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 41.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…8547backed Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…2750backed Weber State Wildcats | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Weber State Wildcats | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Weber State Wildcats | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksthis page
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-1.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 149.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.