Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c38f2ee1d56df3e8f890414b75f3e59ea94d0ce3d1a62a183c88d996c19e063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsof Bucknell Bison, Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bucknell Bison | 1c | 3,728$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 55c | 2,395$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bucknell Bison | 43c | 1,108$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.44 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucknell Bison | 27c | 741.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 78c | 451.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bucknell Bison | 55c | 447.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison | 42c | 358.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 354$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 80c | 256.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 234.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 49c | 224.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 79c | 197.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 197$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Bucknell Bison | 57c | 185.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 73c | 185.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…61b5backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 177.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 78c | 161.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Bucknell Bison | 15c | 159.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bucknell Bison | 32c | 149.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 56c | 136.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Bucknell Bison | 45c | 132.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Bucknell Bison | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucknell Bison | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 59c | 82.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 80c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Bucknell Bison | 51c | 65.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bucknell Bison | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 44.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bucknell Bison | 40c | 43.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucknell Bison | 46c | 35.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Bucknell Bison | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Bucknell Bison | 56c | 31.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 66c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.