Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9b21326c5f075bb417f883abc53e6c3fa5300f3258f5971bf6848b21813d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 23c | 182.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 33c | 156.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 148.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 126.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 25c | 113.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 22c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 76c | 93.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 42c | 91.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3d22backed Yes | 45c | 85.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…4373backed Yes | 19c | 84.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 67.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 67.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…f94fbacked Yes | 18c | 58.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 25c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…dccfbacked Yes | 31c | 40.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 48c | 32.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 28.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 67c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.