Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Michael Geerts vs Daniel Michalski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cab46dfcc3f708f951061d189c2a3b443f84927ad49adf7028e511c38b8b5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Geertsof Geerts, Michalski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Geerts | 41c | 7,395$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.54 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michalski | 45c | 3,042$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Michalski | 49c | 2,398$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.42 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michalski | 60c | 1,745$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Michalski | 69c | 1,577$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Geerts | 68c | 1,458$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Michalski | 50c | 1,295$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.98 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Geerts | 52c | 1,294$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.62 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Michalski | 48c | 1,181$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.37 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michalski | 52c | 1,066$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Geerts | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.79 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Michalski | 54c | 827.64$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.75 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Michalski | 55c | 576$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michalski | 12c | 508.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Geerts | 49c | 497.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Geerts | 52c | 468.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed Geerts | 49c | 405.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Geerts | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Michalski | 51c | 366.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Geerts | 57c | 353.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Geerts | 53c | 308.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Geerts | 45c | 306.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Michalski | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michalski | 7c | 287.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Geerts | 49c | 239.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michalski | 47c | 235.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Michalski | 48c | 233.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Michalski | 46c | 218.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Geerts | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Michalski | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Geerts | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Geerts | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Michalski | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Geerts | 53c | 190.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Geerts | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Geerts | 54c | 183.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Geerts | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Geerts | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Geerts | 50c | 133.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Michalski | 50c | 121.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michalski | 47c | 121.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…ce5bbacked Geerts | 50c | 119.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…72e1backed Michalski | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Geerts | 56c | 105.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Geerts | 48c | 102.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Geerts | 58c | 101.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Michalski | 49c | 100.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Michalski | 49c | 100.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Michalski | 46c | 100.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Geerts | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Geerts | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b1…29c6backed Geerts | 53c | 93.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Geerts | 35c | 88.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Geerts | 57c | 88.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Geerts | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Geerts | 44c | 84.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Geerts | 53c | 81.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Geerts | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Michalski | 47c | 70.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Geerts | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Geerts | 37c | 65.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Michalski | 47c | 64.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Michalski | 18c | 62.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Geerts | 56c | 61.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Michalski | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Geerts | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Geerts | 79c | 55.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Geerts | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Geerts | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Michalski | 49c | 51.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Michalski | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Michalski | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Michalski | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Geerts | 42c | 43.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Geerts | 53c | 42.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Michalski | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Geerts | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Geerts | 50c | 40.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Michalski | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michalski | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Geerts | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Michalski | 61c | 36.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Geerts | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…28edbacked Geerts | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Michalski | 52c | 30.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Michalski | 46c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed Michalski | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Geerts | 46c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Michalski | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Geerts | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Geerts | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1463…30fcbacked Geerts | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Geerts | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Delhi: Michael Geerts vs Daniel Michalskithis page
- Geerts vs. Michalski: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.