Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cfa7c3d61af16c6bdc088606c48f7448ad8b9137e828d9df2d9d2039e3e4e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana Grizzliesof Montana Grizzlies, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,183 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 7,674$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.67 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 6,517$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.95 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Portland State Vikings | 20c | 3,281$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.78 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 24c | 3,165$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.59 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 2,939$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.91 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 2,702$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.12 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Portland State Vikings | 3c | 1,940$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Portland State Vikings | 5c | 1,859$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Portland State Vikings | 6c | 1,736$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Portland State Vikings | 3c | 1,716$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Montana Grizzlies | 38c | 1,695$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland State Vikings | 3c | 1,567$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 1,541$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland State Vikings | 7c | 1,313$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Portland State Vikings | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Montana Grizzlies | 76c | 927.54$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Montana Grizzlies | 79c | 777$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Portland State Vikings | 22c | 698.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland State Vikings | 8c | 664.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 16c | 609.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Montana Grizzlies | 41c | 530.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.52 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Portland State Vikings | 4c | 499.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Portland State Vikings | 5c | 413.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Portland State Vikings | 10c | 398.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Portland State Vikings | 4c | 353.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland State Vikings | 5c | 268.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Portland State Vikings | 15c | 255.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Portland State Vikings | 8c | 239.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 181.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Portland State Vikings | 15c | 165.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Portland State Vikings | 63c | 110.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Montana Grizzlies | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Montana Grizzlies | 77c | 93.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland State Vikings | 26c | 90.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Portland State Vikings | 25c | 61.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 49.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Montana Grizzlies | 65c | 36.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Montana Grizzlies | 38c | 35.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 35.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 33.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 31.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Montana Grizzlies | 74c | 26.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Montana Grizzlies | 65c | 22.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…6634backed Montana Grizzlies | 78c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Montana Grizzlies | 80c | 13.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-3.5)Montana Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.