TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3450…6793backed Hawks55c9,078$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf21…e23ebacked Nets48c4,317$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets45c4,263$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…f1cebacked Hawks52c4,236$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…917fbacked Nets48c3,847$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b8…08e6backed Nets48c3,586$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc0…0606backed Nets48c3,169$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets45c2,777$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.351,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d2…e13dbacked Nets48c1,002$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks53c984.33$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.692,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e68…f99ebacked Nets48c936$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4100…42f8backed Hawks52c846$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9094…cbe5backed Hawks52c837$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e3…a38abacked Hawks52c812$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39e2…3a70backed Nets48c802$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb9…0879backed Hawks52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6703…8993backed Nets48c789$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd57…2d2ebacked Hawks52c752$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6151…31c0backed Nets48c751$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa997…3552backed Hawks52c745$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…e420backed Nets48c736$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb3…a6d1backed Hawks52c720$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219f…b6c4backed Hawks52c710$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1016…195abacked Nets48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7da…981fbacked Hawks52c698$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722f…4542backed Hawks52c687$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02e7…5e5abacked Hawks52c679$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0077…559cbacked Hawks52c658$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe458…51c5backed Hawks52c634$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-80.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74e6…a857backed Nets49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf9…3b47backed Hawks52c588$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…0849backed Hawks52c567$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Nets47c541.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf556…70cdbacked Hawks52c536$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7280%0 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9623…d549backed Nets48c535$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec9…9f6bbacked Hawks52c532$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce2…77d4backed Hawks52c532$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc149…cddfbacked Hawks52c526$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…6a9fbacked Hawks52c522$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf373…dc57backed Hawks52c520$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edc…3a70backed Nets48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.42050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa32c…8265backed Hawks52c517$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c06…5fdcbacked Hawks52c512$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed7…dd0ebacked Nets48c503$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5a…ec0ebacked Nets48c501$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b08…0327backed Hawks52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59e…2cadbacked Hawks52c498$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11a…d8e1backed Hawks52c482$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b84…8e08backed Nets48c468$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x281b…e974backed Hawks52c436$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…033abacked Hawks52c422$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5029…318abacked Hawks52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Nets44c399.22$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5bf…51e8backed Nets48c387$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4067…5a26backed Hawks52c367$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfa…c28fbacked Hawks52c362$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.24650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6d…69ffbacked Nets48c361$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d6…bdf6backed Hawks52c356$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb08c…9b35backed Hawks52c322$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec97…4e79backed Hawks52c298$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc205…5c7abacked Nets48c286$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets46c285$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1e…103bbacked Hawks52c267$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34eb…6225backed Hawks52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets48c250$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8795641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3324055.4%133 W · 107 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Nets45c203.64$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Nets46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10830641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Hawks54c197.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8838151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…c59ebacked Nets48c185$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks52c144.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Nets48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48450%42 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Nets47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.386752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f7…b623backed Hawks52c103$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd292…5070backed Hawks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Nets44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5635447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Nets46c82.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2180148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8b…21d7backed Nets48c70.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.834165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11b7…9c83backed Hawks52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Nets47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nets52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3459743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624a…287cbacked Hawks55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.