Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Mateus Alves vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3e71e87c49060cf6fa254287b9303646544c0c5daffa7651c1ea75d0a51be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Mateus Alves, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x946b…7277backed Mateus Alves | 0c | 16,283$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Mateus Alves | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Nick Hardt | 50c | 9,400$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 4,170$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 3,252$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mateus Alves | 38c | 1,095$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Nick Hardt | 70c | 875.57$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.79 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 656$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Mateus Alves | 10c | 604.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 567.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Mateus Alves | 44c | 540.38$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mateus Alves | 35c | 477.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Mateus Alves | 67c | 474.36$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.38 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mateus Alves | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Mateus Alves | 18c | 344.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Mateus Alves | 34c | 334.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mateus Alves | 41c | 307.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mateus Alves | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Nick Hardt | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Mateus Alves | 45c | 215.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nick Hardt | 59c | 215.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Nick Hardt | 34c | 204.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nick Hardt | 56c | 195.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nick Hardt | 44c | 187$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nick Hardt | 54c | 177.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 165.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Mateus Alves | 42c | 165.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 163.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mateus Alves | 40c | 160.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nick Hardt | 69c | 157.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 146.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mateus Alves | 37c | 145.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 145.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Mateus Alves | 41c | 133.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Nick Hardt | 69c | 126.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nick Hardt | 50c | 125.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…88a5backed Nick Hardt | 68c | 117.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mateus Alves | 36c | 115.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…22c8backed Nick Hardt | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Mateus Alves | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mateus Alves | 40c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mateus Alves | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Mateus Alves | 32c | 76.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nick Hardt | 57c | 72.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mateus Alves | 34c | 67.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Mateus Alves | 36c | 67.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…3cfcbacked Nick Hardt | 65c | 67.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mateus Alves | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mateus Alves | 51c | 52.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mateus Alves | 33c | 51.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Nick Hardt | 51c | 49.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Mateus Alves | 41c | 48.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Nick Hardt | 58c | 47.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 46.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Mateus Alves | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nick Hardt | 58c | 41.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mateus Alves | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Mateus Alves | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Nick Hardt | 72c | 34.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Mateus Alves | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Nick Hardt | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…06b3backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Nick Hardt | 76c | 25.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mateus Alves | 40c | 25.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…91eebacked Mateus Alves | 48c | 24.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Nick Hardt | 49c | 22.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Nick Hardt | 74c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Mateus Alves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.