South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e221ec29eec3c8425e9bd62450cbd5882b5add49fa73f6317cf2a1876cdcb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,789$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,780$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 61c | 2,553$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 2,434$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.66 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 1,953$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.69 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 42c | 713.5$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 41c | 702.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 610.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 27c | 357.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 323.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 32c | 299.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 39c | 299.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 206$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 183$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 133.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 132.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 58c | 113.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 60c | 88.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 87.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 42c | 86.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 70.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 68.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 42c | 64.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 42c | 52.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 28.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 80c | 27.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 58c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.