South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0af57928db32e88036fc095d8a8d3fff04eb26105e6f2a981cfb627cdb3cebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estudiantes de La Plataof CR Flamengo, Estudiantes de La Plata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CR Flamengo | 9c | 1,300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 945.95$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 919.97$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CR Flamengo | 18c | 652.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CR Flamengo | 18c | 298.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 233.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 74c | 219.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 66c | 172.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 71c | 153.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked CR Flamengo | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed CR Flamengo | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked CR Flamengo | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 55.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 60c | 50.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 46.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 60c | 46.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed CR Flamengo | 34c | 30.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 65c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.